Published October 5, 2026 in Market Update

Prices slipped in Primary market, but buyers gained more choice

By Tiegen Boberg
Real estate, Primary market

The one fact that changes what sellers should do right now: prices are down across all three ZIP codes. That means your list price needs to be honest from day one.

The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 569 homes sold across ZIP codes 95762, 95630 and 95746 in the three months ending July 31, 2026. That is up 12.7% from the same months a year ago. More homes sold, even as prices dipped. That tells you demand is still real.

Primary market at a glance, three months ending July 31, 2026
Homes sold
up 12.7% year over year
Homes for sale
up 2.4% year over year
New listings
up 2.2% year over year
Pending sales
up 13.8% year over year
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending July 31, 2026

Realtor.com reported that active listings nationally were up 6.3% from a year ago as of October 1, 2026, the fastest pace in at least six months. Our local picture matches that trend. The Real Estate Data Aggregator shows inventory in the Primary market up 2.4% to 502 homes. More choice for buyers means sellers compete a little harder.

Prices dipped, but homes still closed near list

Prices fell in each ZIP code. That is a small admission worth making plainly. But look at what did not fall: sale-to-list ratios stayed close to 99% in every area. Sellers who priced well still got close to what they asked.

ZIP code by ZIP code, three months ending July 31, 2026
957629563095746
Median sale price$902,500$750,000$1,249,982
Price change, year over yeardown 9.8%down 6.3%down 3.8%
Homes sold23025287
Median days on market272028
Sale to list99.1%99.5%99.2%
Sold above list27.4%33.3%26.4%
Real Estate Data Aggregator, three months ending July 31, 2026.

ZIP 95630 moved the quickest. The Real Estate Data Aggregator put the median days on market there at 20 days. It also had the highest share of homes that sold above list price, at 33.3%, up 9.6 points from a year ago.

ZIP 95746 saw the smallest price drop, down 3.8%. But the Real Estate Data Aggregator also showed days on market there rose 11 days longer than a year ago, to 28 days. Buyers in that price range are taking more time.

Rates crossed 7% again. That is part of the picture.

Freddie Mac put the average 30-year fixed rate at 7.28% as of October 1, 2026. The 15-year averaged 6.60%. Realtor.com noted that rates crossed 7% in late September for the first time since January 2025. That adds cost for buyers and can slow decisions.

Mortgage rates as of October 1, 2026
30-year fixed7.3%15-year fixed6.6%
Freddie Mac, read October 4, 2026.

Nationally, the National Association of Realtors reported a months' supply of 4.9 months, the highest level in over ten years. Our Primary market sits well below that. The Real Estate Data Aggregator shows 2.3 months of supply in 95630, 2.7 in 95746 and 3.1 in 95762. Supply here is tighter than the national picture.

Months of supply by ZIP, three months ending July 31, 2026
956302.3 months957462.7 months957623.1 monthsNational (NAR)4.9 months
Real Estate Data Aggregator for local ZIPs. National Association of Realtors for national figure, read October 4, 2026.

What this means if you are selling

More homes for sale gives buyers options they did not have a year ago. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 703 new listings in the Primary market, up 2.2% from a year ago. Price well and homes still move. Price too high and they sit.

The Real Estate Data Aggregator showed that 31.4% of homes in 95762 went under contract within two weeks of listing. In 95630 that share was 40.5%. In 95746 it was 35.7%. Well-priced homes still find buyers quickly.

Share under contract within two weeks, three months ending July 31, 2026
9563040.5%9574635.7%9576231.4%
Real Estate Data Aggregator, three months ending July 31, 2026.
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending July 31, 2026

What this means if you are buying

The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 609 pending sales across the Primary market, up 13.8% from a year ago. Other buyers are still moving. The window of extra choice may not stay open long.

Realtor.com also reported that homes under contract nationally fell 4.1% year over year as of September 30, 2026. Higher rates are slowing some buyers. That can mean a little less competition in some price ranges here.

In short
  1. Prices dipped in every ZIP code for the three months ending July 31, 2026. Sales rose.
  2. Inventory grew a little.
  3. Rates are back above 7%.
  4. Sellers who price well are still closing near list.
  5. One street can read very differently from the whole ZIP code.

Your next step

(916) 747-0773

Text me your address and I will send back what your Primary market home is worth against what homes near you actually sold for in the three months ending July 31, 2026. Takes a day, costs nothing.

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Where these numbers came from
Tiegen Boberg
Nick Sadek Sotheby's International Realty · (916) 747-0773
Privacy policyTerms of useDo not sell or share my informationAccessibility statementFair housing notice
Tiegen Boberg is a licensed real estate agent with Nick Sadek Sotheby's International Realty. Market numbers come from MLS records and are believed accurate but not guaranteed. Nothing on this site is an appraisal or a promise of value. If your home is already listed with another broker, this is not a solicitation.
© 2026 Tiegen Boberg · Nick Sadek Sotheby's International RealtyEQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY